Economics Insights @ CBS

An American option grants the holder the right to select the time at which to exercise the option, so pricing an American option entails solving an optimal stopping problem. Difficulties in applying standard numerical methods to complex pricing problems have motivated the development of techniques that combine Monte Carlo simulation with dynamic programming. One class of methods approximates the option value at each time using a linear combination of basis functions, and combines Monte Carlo with backward induction to estimate optimal coefficients in each approximation.

Organizations worldwide use contact centers as an important channel of communication and transaction with their customers. This paper describes a contact center with two channels, one for real-time telephone service, and another for a postponed call-back service offered with a guarantee on the maximum delay until a reply is received. Customers are sensitive to both real-time and call-back delay and their behavior is captured through a probabilistic choice model. The dynamics of the system are modeled as an M/M/N multiclass system.

We consider a joint inventory-pricing problem in which buyers act strategically and bid for units of a firm's product over an infinite horizon. The number of bidders in each period as well as the individual bidders' valuations are random but stationary over time. There is a holding cost for inventory and a unit cost for ordering more stock from an outside supplier. Backordering is not allowed. The firm must decide how to conduct its auctions and how to replenish its stock over time to maximize its profits.

An optimal coupling is a bivariate distribution with specified marginals achieving maximal correlation. We show that optimal couplings are totally positive and, in fact, satisfy a strictly stronger condition we call the nonintersection property. For discrete distributions we illustrate the equivalence between optimal coupling and a certain transportation problem. Specifically, the optimal solutions of greedily-solvable transportation problems are totally positive, and even nonintersecting, through a rearrangement of matrix entries that results in a Monge sequence.

This paper surveys the literature on option pricing, from its origins to the present. An extensive review of valuation methods for European- and American-style claims is provided. Applications to complex securities and numerical methods are surveyed. Emphasis is placed on recent trends and developments in methodology and modeling.