Financial Accounting & Auditing

Under accounting principles, the recognition of earnings is path-dependent and the path depends on risk and its resolution: under the so-called realization principle, earnings are not booked until uncertainty is resolved. In asset pricing terms, the principle means that earnings cannot be recognized until the firm can book a low-beta asset such as cash or a near-cash discounted receivable. If the risk to which this accounting responds is priced risk, the accounting indicates the expected return.

The removal of “conservatism” as a qualitative characteristic from the Conceptual Framework of the IFRS has met with considerable resistance. This paper argues that conservatism has a role in accounting, but not as a qualitative characteristic. Rather, it serves as a defining principle for how accounting is to be done. It is thus central to resolving “recognition” and “measurement” issues in the Conceptual Framework, issues that determine what actually goes into the balance sheet and income statement but issues on which the Framework is particularly weak.

We examine contagion in earnings management using 2,376 restatements announced during the years 1997-2008. Controlling for industry and firm characteristics, firms are more likely to begin managing earnings after the public announcement of a restatement by another firm in their industry or neighborhood. Such contagion is absent when the restating firm is disciplined by the SEC or class action lawsuits, suggesting deterrent effects of enforcement activity.

This paper identifies cash-flow news and expected-return news in financial statements and shows that stock returns are increasing with positive cash-flow news in the statements and decreasing in the news about increasing expected returns. The identified news measures differ significantly from those identified from decomposing returns based on the Vuoltennaho (2002) framework.

Fraud occurs when there is an incentive and the opportunity to commit fraud and the fraudster can rationalize his behavior. Academic literature in financial economics has investigated incentives and opportunities to commit fraud but has largely ignored the fraudsters' ability to rationalize fraud. We address this gap by positing that economic actors, whose earnings are restricted by regulations, cheat more and rationalize such behavior as an effort to get "out of the hole" that regulations have forced them into.

A long stream of papers documents robust correlations between firm characteristics and future stock returns. Most of these characteristics involve accounting numbers. Usually, characteristics have been identified from data analysis, resulting in a proliferation of characteristics. A 2013 survey of published papers and working papers found 186 predictors — a number that the authors said likely under represents the total.