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  3. Paul Tetlock

Paul Tetlock

Alexandra Morgan Ciardi Professor of Finance and Economics
Finance Division
Senior Vice Dean for Curriculum and Programs
Dean's Office
Paul Tetlock
Areas of Expertise
Asset Management
Contact
Office: 1124 Kravis
E-mail: pt2238@gsb.columbia.edu
Links
Personal Website
Curriculum Vitae

Paul Tetlock is the Alexandra Morgan Ciardi Professor of Finance and Economics. He currently serves as the Senior Vice Dean for Curriculum and Programs, overseeing the MBA and Executive MBA programs.

His research on the media and stock prices has been widely recognized, receiving over 10,000 citations and winning the Smith-Breeden Prize and George Eccles Research Award. It also has been featured in popular press outlets, such as The Economist, New York Times, and Wall Street Journal. He has served for more than ten years as Associate Editor for top academic journals, including the Journal of Finance, Review of Financial Studies, and Management Science.

Professor Tetlock won the Dean’s Award for Teaching Excellence in 2021 for his teaching in Capital Markets & Investments.

Prior to joining Columbia in 2008, Professor Tetlock was a faculty member at Yale and UT Austin. He earned a BS in Mathematical Economics from Harvey Mudd College, ranking first in his class, and a PhD in Economics from Harvard University.

Education
PhD, Harvard University, 2004
Joined CBS
2008

Featured Research

The Implied Equity Premium

Authors
Paul Tetlock, Jack McCoy, and Neel Shah
Date
November 11, 2024
Format
Working Paper

We propose and test a simple model of the equity premium implied by stock index options, assuming frictionless and complete markets for the index and index options. The model’s forecasts are more accurate than forecasting benchmarks, especially when arbitrage costs are low. They closely match real market behavior, with an average equity premium of 7.9% and an implied Sharpe ratio of 0.36.

Read More about The Implied Equity Premium

All Activities

  • Research
  • Teaching
  • Achievements
  • Press
  • Authored Works
  • CaseWorks
  • Journal articles
  • Working papers
  • Articles
  • Books
  • Chapters
Journal Article
Lochstoer, Lars and Paul Tetlock. “What Drives Anomaly Returns?”
Journal of Finance
vol. 75, (June 01, 2020): 1417-1455.
Explore Further about What Drives Anomaly Returns?
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Journal Article
Kelley, Eric and Paul Tetlock. “Retail Short Selling and Stock Prices.”
The Review of Financial Studies
vol. 30, (March 01, 2017): 801-834.
Explore Further about Retail Short Selling and Stock Prices
Download PDF on Retail Short Selling and Stock Prices
Journal Article
Alti, Aydogan and Paul Tetlock. “Biased Beliefs, Asset Prices, and Investment: A Structural Approach.”
Journal of Finance
vol. 69, (February 01, 2014): 325-362.
Explore Further about Biased Beliefs, Asset Prices, and Investment: A Structural Approach
Download PDF on Biased Beliefs, Asset Prices, and Investment: A Structural Approach
Journal Article
Ang, Andrew, Assaf Shtauber, and Paul Tetlock. “Asset Pricing in the Dark: The Cross Section of OTC Stocks.”
Review of Financial Studies
vol. 26, (December 01, 2013): 2985-3028.
Explore Further about Asset Pricing in the Dark: The Cross Section of OTC Stocks
Download PDF on Asset Pricing in the Dark: The Cross Section of OTC Stocks
Journal Article
Kelley, Eric and Paul Tetlock. “How Wise Are Crowds? Insights from Retail Orders and Stock Returns.”
Journal of Finance
vol. 68, (June 01, 2013): 1229-1265.
Explore Further about How Wise Are Crowds? Insights from Retail Orders and Stock Returns
Download PDF on How Wise Are Crowds? Insights from Retail Orders and Stock Returns
Journal Article
Tetlock, Paul. “All the News That's Fit to Reprint: Do Investors React to Stale Information?”
Review of Financial Studies
vol. 24, no.
5
(May 01, 2011): 1481-1512.
Explore Further about All the News That's Fit to Reprint: Do Investors React to Stale Information?
Download PDF on All the News That's Fit to Reprint: Do Investors React to Stale Information?
Journal Article
Tetlock, Paul. “Does Public Financial News Resolve Asymmetric Information?”
Review of Financial Studies
vol. 23, (September 01, 2010): 3520-3557.
Explore Further about Does Public Financial News Resolve Asymmetric Information?
Download PDF on Does Public Financial News Resolve Asymmetric Information?
Journal Article
Glosten, Lawrence, Merritt Fox, and Paul Tetlock. “Short Selling and the News: A Preliminary Report on an Empirical Study.”
New York Law School Law Review
vol. 54, (March 22, 2010): 645-686.
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Journal Article
Tetlock, Paul, Maytal Saar-Tsechansky, and Sofus Macskassy. “More Than Words: Quantifying Language to Measure Firms' Fundamentals.”
Journal of Finance
vol. 63, (June 01, 2008): 1437-1467.
Explore Further about More Than Words: Quantifying Language to Measure Firms' Fundamentals
Download PDF on More Than Words: Quantifying Language to Measure Firms' Fundamentals
Journal Article
Hahn, Robert and Paul Tetlock. “Has Economic Analysis Improved Regulatory Decisions?”
Journal of Economic Perspectives
vol. 22, (January 01, 2008): 67-84.
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Journal Article
Tetlock, Paul. “Giving Content to Investor Sentiment: The Role of Media in the Stock Market.”
Journal of Finance
vol. 62, (June 01, 2007): 1139-1168.
Explore Further about Giving Content to Investor Sentiment: The Role of Media in the Stock Market
Download PDF on Giving Content to Investor Sentiment: The Role of Media in the Stock Market
Journal Article
Hahn, Robert and Paul Tetlock. “A new approach for regulating information markets.”
Journal of Regulatory Economics
vol. 29, (May 01, 2006): 265-281.
Explore Further about A new approach for regulating information markets
Download PDF on A new approach for regulating information markets
Journal Article
Hahn, Robert and Paul Tetlock. “Big Ideas: The Market's Last Frontier.”
Milken Review
vol. 7, (January 01, 2005): 83-89.
Explore Further about Big Ideas: The Market's Last Frontier
Download PDF on Big Ideas: The Market's Last Frontier
Journal Article
Hahn, Robert and Paul Tetlock. “Using Information Markets to Improve Public Decision Making.”
Harvard Journal of Law and Public Policy
vol. 29, (January 01, 2005): 214-289.
Explore Further about Using Information Markets to Improve Public Decision Making
Download PDF on Using Information Markets to Improve Public Decision Making
Working Paper
Tetlock, Paul, Jack McCoy, and Neel Shah. The Implied Equity Premium. November 11, 2024.
Explore Further about The Implied Equity Premium
Download PDF on The Implied Equity Premium
Working Paper
Lochstoer, Lars and Paul Tetlock. Model-Free Mispricing Factors. February 01, 2023.
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Working Paper
Kelley, Eric and Paul Tetlock. Why Do Investors Trade? May 01, 2013.
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Working Paper
Tetlock, Paul. Liquidity and Prediction Market Efficiency. May 01, 2008.
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Working Paper
Hahn, Robert and Paul Tetlock. Optimal Liquidity Provision for Decision Makers. January 01, 2007.
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Article

Professor Paul Tetlock Takes CBS's Curriculum into the Future

Read More about Professor Paul Tetlock Takes CBS's Curriculum into the Future
Article

Welcome the New Faculty Members

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