Decision Making & Negotiations

In this paper we develop a model for a capacitated production/distribution network of general (but acyclic) topology with a general bill of materials, as considered in MRP (Material Requirement Planning) or DRP (Distribution Requirement Planning) systems. This model assumes stationary, deterministic demand rates and a standard stationary cost structure; it is a generalization of the uncapacitated model treated in the seminal papers of Maxwell and Muckstadt (1985) and Roundy (1986).

Money managers select weights of managed portfolios to enhance their reputation in the spot market for their services, inevitably using their actions to signal their quality. We develop a two-asset signalling model of money managers. A unique screening equilibrium and (under certain parameter configurations) a host of pooling equilibria survive the Cho-Kreps Intuitive Criterion. In all the equilibria managers behave more aggressively than they would in the absence of the signalling motive, exaggerating their position in the risky asset.

According to human capital theory, technological change will influence the retirement decisions of older workers in two ways. First, workers in industries with high rates of technological change will retire later if there is a net positive correlation between technological change and on-the-job training. Second, an unexpected change in the rate of technological change will induce older workers to retire sooner because the required amount of retraining will be an unattractive investment.

While under some circumstances information sharing in oligopoly may be beneficial, the literature ignores the possibility of strategic information sharing by assuming verifiability of data. I endogenize the incentives for truthful information sharing and prove that if firms have the ability to send misleading information, they will always do so. To overcome this problem I introduce a (costly) mechanism through which the firm will, in its own best interest, reveal the true value of its private information, even though outside verification is impossible.

Edited by John R. White.

This paper documents the revaluation practice over a ten-year period from 1981 of a large sample of Australian firms and examines the association between these revaluations and stock market prices and returns. The analysis uses several different approaches in order to obtain a thorough understanding of the reevaluation process in Australia. We include a description of hand-collected data from published financial statements, follow-up interviews with chief financial officers of the sample firms, and association tests between hand-collected accounting data and stock market measures.

In this chapter we discuss planning models for multi-echelon systems which allow for uncertain and nonstationary demand and lead time processes. We confine ourselves to so-called PUSH systems with a central decision maker, who possesses continuously or periodically updated information about all inventories of all products at all relevant facilities and production stages; all replenishment decisions in the system are determined centrally on the basis of this information.

We develop a simple O(n log n) solution method for the standard lot-sizing model with backlogging and a study horizon of n periods. Production costs are fixed plus linear and holding and backlogging costs are linear with general time-dependent parameters. The algorithm has linear [O(n)] time complexity for several important subclasses of the general model. We show how a slight adaptation of the algorithm can be used for the detection of a minimal forecast horizon and associated planning horizon.

We consider an inventory system with compound Poisson demands replenished by discrete production of units on a single-server facility. This facility may start a vacation at any production completion epoch; at the completion of a vacation the inventory level is inspected to decide whether or not to resume production. Unit production and vacation times are independent and identically distributed with general distributions.