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Decision Making & Negotiations

See the latest research, articles and faculty on the Decision Making & Negotiations Area of Expertise at Columbia Business School.

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Decision Making & Negotiations

Decision Making & Negotiations Research

Delinquency model predictive power among low-documentation loans

Authors
Wei Jiang, Ashlyn Aiko Nelson, and Edward Vytlacil
Date
January 1, 2013
Format
Journal Article
Journal
Economics Letters

Using data from a major mortgage bank, we examine the predictive power of mortgage delinquency models as an aggregate measure of the quality of information recorded at loan origination. We measure model predictive power using an out-of-sample prediction criterion and compare predictive power of delinquency models over time and across loans of different documentation levels and origination channels.

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The Dynamics of Optimal Risk Sharing

Authors
Patrick Bolton and Christopher Harris
Date
January 1, 2013
Format
Working Paper

We study a dynamic-contracting problem involving risk sharing between two parties — the Proposer and the Responder — who invest in a risky asset until an exogenous but random termination time. In any time period they must invest all their wealth in the risky asset, but they can share the underlying investment and termination risk. When the project ends they consume their final accumulated wealth. The Proposer and the Responder have constant relative risk aversion R and r respectively, with R > r > 0.

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Valuing Private Equity

Authors
Neng Wang and Jinqiang Yang
Date
January 1, 2013
Format
Working Paper

We develop a dynamic valuation model of private equity (PE) investments by solving the portfolio-choice problem for a risk-averse investor (LP), who invests in a PE fund, managed by a general partner (GP). Key features are illiquidity, leverage, GP value-adding skills (alpha), and compensation, including management fees and carried interest. We find that the costs of management fees, carried interest, and illiquidity are high, and the GP needs to generate substantial value to cover these costs. Leverage substantially reduces these costs.

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The double-edge of similarity and difference mindsets: What comparison mindsets do depends on whether self or group representations are focal

Authors
Daniel Ames, Shira Mor, and Claudia Toma
Date
January 1, 2013
Format
Journal Article
Journal
Journal of Experimental Social Psychology

Past work has argued that comparison mindsets affect stereotyping: perceivers in a difference mindset stereotype less than those in a similarity mindset, contrasting their judgments of an individual away from their representation of the group. Here, we argue that the self can also act as a reference point, implying that the impact of comparison mindsets depends on what is focal.

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The European Union, the Euro and Equity Market Integration

Authors
Geert Bekaert, Campbell Harvey, Christian Lundblad, and Stephan Siegel
Date
January 1, 2013
Format
Journal Article
Journal
Working paper

At a time of historic challenges to the viability of the Eurozone, we assess the contribution of the EU and the Euro to equity market integration in Europe. We use a simple and essentially model free measure of bilateral market segmentation: two countries are segmented if there is a wide divergence in the valuations of their industries. We first establish that segmentation is significantly lower for EU versus non-EU members.

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"Big Data" vs. Quality Information: The Peculiarities of Information Markets

Authors
Miklos Sarvary
Date
January 1, 2013
Format
Newspaper/Magazine Article
Publication
The European Business Review

It is often claimed that we live in an information age. This has many implications for decision makers in general and business leaders in particular. For most businesses nowadays, increasingly, it is superior information that is at the origin of competitive advantage. The prime challenge in this new environment does not start with data analysis. Rather, the most important issue for the firm is to understand its information needs: what information, if it were available, would make a real difference for value creation and competitive advantage?

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The Impact of Event Marketing on Brand Equity: The Mediating Roles of Brand Experience and Brand Attitude

Authors
Lia Zarantonello and Bernd Schmitt
Date
January 1, 2013
Format
Journal Article
Journal
International Journal of Advertising

Can event marketing contribute to brand equity? A field study with consumers participating in different types of events indicates that event attendance increases brand equity and that brand experience is the most important mediator. Brand attitudes mediate the relation between events and brand equity only for certain types of events (namely, trade and street events, but not pop-up shops and sponsored events). Implications of the results for event marketing theory and practice are discussed.

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Spanning the Institutional Abyss: The Intergovernmental Network and the Governance of Foreign Direct Investment

Authors
Juan Alcacer and Paul Ingram
Date
January 1, 2013
Format
Journal Article
Journal
American Journal of Sociology

Global economic transactions such as foreign direct investment (FDI) must extend over an institutional abyss between the jurisdiction, and therefore protection, of the states involved. Intergovernmental organizations (IGOs) represent an important attempt to span this abyss. The authors use a network approach to demonstrate that the connections between two countries, through joint membership in the same IGOs, are associated with a large positive influence on the FDI that flows between them.

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Precise Offers Are Potent Anchors: Conciliatory Counteroffers and Attributions of Knowledge in Negotiations

Authors
Malia Mason, Alice J. Lee, Elizabeth A. Wiley, and Daniel Ames
Date
January 1, 2013
Format
Journal Article
Journal
Journal of Experimental Social Psychology

People habitually use round prices as first offers in negotiations. We test whether the specificity with which a first offer is expressed has appreciable effects on first-offer recipients' perceptions and strategic choices. Studies 1a & b establish that first-offer recipients make greater counteroffer adjustments to round versus precise offers. Study 2 demonstrates this phenomenon in an interactive, strategic exchange.

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